Posts Tagged ‘Cards’

Poker Strategy With Reid Young: Mastering Scare Cards

Reid YoungHave you ever been in this spot? You call a preflop raise with a medium pair like 7Heart Suit 7Diamond Suit out of position. The flop is 9Heart Suit 3Spade Suit 2Heart Suit, and you think “that’s not so bad.” You check to your opponent and call his continuation bet (c-bet). The turn is the KSpade Suit and your heart sinks. You check and again your opponent bets. You are probably in for a bumpy ride! Is he bluffing? Would he bet again with only a nine? Or did he hit that king on the turn?

What is a Scare Card?

Scare cards are those community cards that are most likely to adversely affect a particular player’s distribution of holdings and scare that player off of putting more money into the pot with a weak hand. In this case, we, as the out-of-position player, are nearly helpless on the turn king. Besides the heart and spade flush draws and the straight draws that also have two overcards to our pair that we may have to dodge on the river, if our opponent is semi-bluffing with them on the turn, we also have to worry about being way behind a king. Being against a flush draw and trying to guess which it is the times that the other draw hits the river isn’t so bad, but being a 9-to-1 underdog on the turn against a king is pretty rough.

Our opponent knows that we probably don’t have many kings to take the actions we have taken so far in this hand. Think about it. We only called preflop, so it’s unlikely that we have K-Q or A-K, and we probably don’t play hands like K-9, K-3 or K-2 preflop when we are out of position and facing a raise. If we did have K-Q preflop, then would we check/call with king-high and no draw on a nine-high flop? Probably not.

Based on the unlikely nature that we have a king, our opponent has free reign to abuse us on the turn by betting and by leveraging the possibility of future bets in such a way that maximally takes advantage of how unlikely it is for us to have a king on the turn. If you’re thinking ahead, then you may already be saying to yourself, “well OK, let’s just add some more kings to our flop check-calling distribution.” That’s only part of the answer though because the turn card isn’t always a king. In fact, the turn is going to be a king less than 4/47 of the time, or less than 8.5 percent of the time (since sometimes at least one other player has a king). The other 90 percent or more of the time, we don’t want to simply have to check/fold the turn. That’s like kissing our flop call goodbye a lot of the time.

Representing Scare Cards

Being prepared for the rare king on the turn means that we, as the out-of-position player calling the preflop raiser’s flop bet, need to have at least a few kings in our distribution. That way we can stand the heat at least a little bit better and also prevent our opponent from value betting as thinly. For example, if our opponent tries to value bet a hand like ADiamond Suit 9Diamond Suit on the flop, on a turn king, and on a river deuce, it’s less likely that we face that river bet with a hand that only beats a bluff and loses to his ADiamond Suit 9Diamond Suit. That lowers the value of our opponent’s strategy. Nice. But we still have to keep in mind that every turn isn’t a king.

That means that the ability to represent a scare card is tied to your opponent’s ability to take profitable actions up until the point that the cards comes off the top of the deck and is placed into the community cards that can make up all players’ hands. If a player can’t profitably get to a particular turn or river and have a particular hand, then it’s hell on him to try to defend against an aggressive player’s betting strategy. However, players can plan ahead to try to mitigate the effects of scare cards.

Mastering Scare Cards

If you learn how to recognize players that over-do bluffing on scare cards, then you can counter-exploit the fear that they try to leverage. In other words, a good player is going to make your life tough when the board gets bad for your hand and there is really not much that you can do to prevent losing money in the long run; however, an overly aggressive player gets greedy, and we can make him pay.

Recall the 9-3-2-K board. What if we, as the out of position preflop calling player, decide to check/call our king-high flush draws on the flop, as well as all our combinations of pocket deuces. Now, all of a sudden, on the turn king we aren’t so worried about folding a marginal hand. Of course, it’s very easy for our opponent to go wild bluffing and have us very worried about the value of our middling hands, like those red sevens. On the other hand, he’s occasionally going to run into our king or our set of deuces.

By planning ahead and knowing that a lot of the turn cards in the deck are actually pretty terrible for us the times that we have pocket sevens, we can start to understand exactly what other types of hands should be in our flop check/calling distribution. That is, if we take an action with a certain type of hand that ends extremely poorly on several common board run outs, then it gets to be clear that we should probably mix up our flop play a little more and add in some hands that are deceptive on a number of turn cards, and then on a number of river cards.

Stopping the Inevitable

It’s extremely important to understand that it is very difficult to offset the positional disadvantage in poker, especially as the board gets more dangerous for the bulk of your holdings. The most important idea to take from an overview of scare cards is that we can mitigate these negatives by constructing a versatile distribution.

While it’s ridiculous to assume you’ll have the best of it in all positions on all run outs, you can do better than your opponent when we put him into the same position. When you’re playing a hand out of position, often your only goal is to do better than you would have done by surrendering your blind bet outright. Many players assume they need to win most of the hands that they play from the blinds and try to make moves too often and win more than their fair share. Against a passive or exploitable opponent, that strategy might work well. However, the better players are going to tear up that strategy and just call you down when they turn their kings and fold their bluffs in proportion to your bluff size on the turn. So what if we want to do something about that turn bet than just check and call?

Fighting Back

We know that a lot of players over-do it on the turn scare card. They bet far more often than they could actually have a king or a better hand like pocket nines or pocket aces on that turn. Because our opponent is bluffing a lot of the time and the river is usually going to be incredibly scary, regardless of how often we believe our opponent is bluffing, we may want to raise the turn periodically to end the hand with our own bluff.

But if we are bluffing, then what are we value betting? Remember those pocket deuces that we decided to check/call on the flop the second time around. Now you’re getting it! If we are ready for all possible outcomes and we have a plan going forward that accomplishes getting money into the middle with our best hands and also protecting against aggressive players who leverage future bets on scare cards, then we have a balanced strategy. The most difficult player is in many ways the least predictable player.

Being able to have a strong hand on any board run out ensures that you don’t fall victim to being abused by scare cards. Also, keep in mind how your actions with a particular distribution of hands readies you for play on the next street! ♠

Reid Young is a successful cash game player and poker coach. He is the founder of TransformPoker.com.

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Published on 12:30 am by Administrator

Category: Poker

Tags: , Cards, Mastering, Poker, Reid, Scare, Strategy, Young

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Casino-Resort Authorization Not In Cards For Florida This Year: Report

Massive commercial casino-resorts will not be authorized in and for Florida this year, according to a report from the Bradenton Herald. Lawmakers in the state reportedly have conceded that the proposal is off the table during this session.

The news isn’t too surprising, however.

Instead, lawmakers are looking to pass a bill that would phase out greyhound racing.

According to the report, “Florida is home to 13 of the last remaining 21 greyhound tracks in the nation. But as attendance has declined and people have spent less money betting on dogs, state law requires them to operate the same number of races they were running as nearly two decades ago.”

Casino firms, such as Las Vegas Sands and Resorts World Miami (owned by Genting), the latter of which is hoping to build a casino on property it owns in Miami, will surely continue the fight next year for the go-ahead to build. The lobbying has been pricey.

Commercial casino interests have been trying since the 1970s to get approval to build, but it hasn’t panned out. Disney is a powerful opponent to the casino-resorts.

According to Bloomberg, the state found that commercial casino resorts could generate $ 1.5 billion in spending annually in Florida. The state’s tourism industry is $ 71.8 billion.

Right now, Florida has tribal casinos (which are not considered commercial), a handful of them, in addition to 31 pari-mutuel facilities. The tribal casinos in the state have the forms of casino gambling you’d find in a Las Vegas casino, minus the craps and roulette.

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Published on 6:30 pm by Administrator

Category: Poker

Tags: , Authorization, Cards, CasinoResort, Florida, Report, This, Year

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Gambling Lawsuit: Did Ivey Notice Defective Cards At London Casino En Route To Winning $12 Million?

The Daily Mail reported that the casino which withheld about $ 12 million of Phil Ivey’s winnings at a game called punto banco thinks the pro gambler cheated — well sort of.

Genting Crockfords London said that Ivey was able to read the backs of the cards that allegedly were defective and used this to his advantage to win millions last year.

The game doesn’t involve players touching the cards. Ivey apparently would have had to ask the dealer to turn them a certain way in order to notice the spot where he could obtain the crucial information needed to beat the game, which normally has a house advantage.

Ivey was reportedly playing with a woman who has been banned from other casinos.

The defect would be the result of a manufacturing mistake, likely attributeable to high demand for cards across the casino world, according to The Daily Mail.

Punto banco is a form of baccarat, and Ivey was betting up to £150,000.

Last week, Ivey announced that he was suing the casino for his winnings, which he maintains he accumulated legitimately and without any sort of edge.

“I am deeply saddened that Crockfords has left me no alternative but to proceed with legal action, following its decision to withhold my winnings,” Ivey said in a statement. “I have much respect for Gentings, which has made this a very difficult decision for me. Over the years I have won and lost substantial sums at Crockfords and I have always honoured my commitments. At the time, I was given a receipt for my winnings but Crockfords subsequently withheld payment. I, therefore, feel I have no alternative but to take legal action.”

For a closer look at how the game might have unfolded, check out The Mail’s reporting.

Comments

texasroadgambler


9 hours ago

Oh no!! An industry that thrives on exploiting various weaknesses in their players is now whining because a player exploited one of theirs?

Oh, the injustice of it all!! Perhaps we should all send the casino monogrammed crying towels.

Reply

I_P_Freely


6 hours ago

Phil has always honored his commitments? I recall him committing to sit out of the WSOP and work tirelessly on behalf of all FTP players who he and his Team FT colleagues stole from until their money was refunded in full.

How is he doing on that committment?

Reply

Mark25


5 hours ago

I_P_Freely you know slander like you just did can get you sued and its not that hard to find who you are either bud so if I was you Id keep my thoughts to myself. As for the cards being marked or mared whatever at the casino, its not a players job to Identify mistakes on cards nor is it their job to point out the defects even if they found them, a casino has special employees hired just to check the cards plus the dealer and head of staff on the floor checked each deck before they are used everytime. Saying he asked a dealer to hold cards up and the dealer did as instructed sounds like either a very badly trained dealer or a casino making lame excuses to keep from paying out. They claim Ivy asked to use the same decks that had won him so much from the day before again the next day. No casino would ever allow this period. So either the casino is lieing or they have no bussiness being in bussiness as a casino. As a former dealer in both holdem and blackjack I find it crazy for them to even claim those things happened. And if they did why did they allow it to happen at all. Thats not normal and it sounds to me like they changed decks to try and claim Ivy cheated since there is no other proof.

Reply

I_P_Freely


3 hours ago

Here is what Ivey said in 2010:

“I am deeply disappointed and embarrassed that Full Tilt players have not been paid money they are owed. I am equally embarrassed that as a result many players cannot compete in tournaments and have suffered economic harm. I am not playing in the World Series of Poker as I do not believe it is fair that I compete when others cannot. I am doing everything I can to seek a solution to the problem as quickly as possible”

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/poker/news/story?id=6614429

Have the players been paid back? No.

Is Ivey playing in the WSOP? Yes.

Has Ivey done anything to seek a solution to the problem? No.

His words in 2010 meant nothing, kid. It ain’t slander, it’s a fact.

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Published on 12:30 am by Administrator

Category: Poker

Tags: , Cards, casino, Defective, Gambling, Ivey, Lawsuit, London, Million, Notice, Route, Winning

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The Nightly Turbo: Greg Raymer Wins 3rd HPT Title, View Dan Smith’s Hole Cards, & More

Greg Raymer

Greg Raymer and Dan Smith are on fire in 2012, especially after each won a tournament (again) this week. We’ll bring you those stories, plus the new member of the Nevada Gaming Control Board, in this edition of the Nightly Turbo.

In Case You Missed It

On Tuesday morning, Josh Williams won the World Series of Poker Circuit Main Event in Hammond, Indiana. Read about the lengthy final table in our WSOP final table recap.

The October Nine is right around the corner. What has Steven Gee done to prepare for the biggest final table of his life? Find out in his interview with Chad Holloway.

Many of poker’s best online players never get a chance to shine in the spotlight. We’re here to change that. In the latest edition of Online Chat, Sofia “welllbet” Lövgren discusses being a part of Team PKR, her relationship with a fellow online pro, and more.

Have you seen the sizzle reel for Johnny Chan’s new reality TV show? Check it out in The Muck.

Grey Raymer’s Triple Crown

Greg Raymer’s success on the 2012 Heartland Poker Tour continued Monday when he bested a 185-player field at Prairie Meadows Racetrack Casino Hotel in Altoona, Iowa. Raymer collected $ 72,089 for the victory, his third on the HPT this season. He won his first title in July at the Route 66 Casino Hotel in Albuquerque, New Mexico, and followed it up with a win at River City Casino in St Louis, Missouri in September.

Raymer secured the Triple Crown Monday by putting away amateur Chad Lawson in a mostly one-sided heads-up match. After the two men began play with nearly identical stacks, Raymer crippled Lawson on the first hand and eventually finished off the Iowa native when his {A-}{K-} held up against {A-}{5-} on the final hand of the tournament.

With the win, Raymer became the first player to win three Heartland Poker Tour titles in one year. Minnesota’s Jeremy Dresch is the only other three-time champ during the tour’s eight-year history, earning his titles in 2009 and 2011.

Raymer thanked his fans and supporters via Twitter after his win:

Here’s a look at the final table results of the 2012 Heartland Poker Tour Prairie Meadows Main Event:

The next Heartland Poker Tour event kicks off Oct. 26 at Route 66 Casino Hotel in Albuquerque, New Mexico, the same venue where Raymer won his second HPT title this year. For more on Raymer’s victory in Iowa, visit the Heartland Poker Tour website.

Dan Smith’s Heater

“King” Dan Smith is the hottest poker player on the planet right now. The current Global Poker Index Player of the Year leader has six wins on the live tournament circuit in 2012 and more than $ 3.6 million in cashes. On Sunday, he added another achievement to his incredible year by winning the PokerStars Sunday Million for nearly $ 220,000.

While it wasn’t his most lucrative victory of the year, Smith bested a field of more than 7,000 to win the $ 215 buy-in tournament on Sunday. How is winning just about everything he plays this year? Check out the final table replay of the Sunday Million — with hole cards — and take some notes.

New Member of the Board

On Monday, Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval named Terry Johnson as the third member of the Nevada Gaming Control Board.

Johnson, the director of the Nevada Department of Business and Industry, replaces Mark Lipparelli, who resigned as chairman of the NGB panel late last month. Johnson will serve out the remaining two months of Liparelli’s term, which expires at the end of the year. Johnson will then likely be reappointed to a four-year term at the beginning of next year.

“I am pleased that Terry has agreed to serve our state in this capacity,” Sandoval said in a statement. “Terry’s strategic leadership and innovative thinking has helped him effectively operate one of the more complex departments in state government. I have no doubt that his regulatory experience and public service background will serve as a strong foundation for this next step.”

Johnson’s new appointment will take effect Nov. 12. He’ll immediately become a decision maker in the license approval process for companies looking to enter Nevada’s intrastate online poker market. Interactive gaming license applicant must meet with the three-member Nevada Gaming Control Board for preliminary approval before receiving a license from the Nevada Gaming Commission.

The Las Vegas Review-Journal has more.

The Final Table

The World Series of Poker Main Event final table is less than a week away. How is October Niner Russell Thomas preparing with his crew of training partners? Find out in episode four of The Final Table, created and produced by Jason Somerville.

Keep an eye out for the rest of the series at Jason Somerville’s YouTube page.

Qualify for the 2013 Aussie Millions

It’s never too early to gear up for the Aussie Millions Poker Championship. Even though the 2013 series is still three months away, Melbourne’s Crown Casino has already unveiled the satellite schedule for the flagship AUD$ 10,600 buy-in $ 10,600 Main Event.

The qualifiers begin Wednesday, Nov. 7 with a $ 65 Phase 1 satellite. The Phase qualifiers offer players an opportunity to win a Main Event seat by advancing through each of the steps, the biggest one being a $ 1,150 Phase 3 satellite. There will also be free Aussie Millions mega satellite qualifier starting next month that gives players a chance to win a AUD$ 10,600 Main Event seat for a shot at the estimated $ 2,000,000 first prize.

The 2013 Aussie Millions Poker Championship begins on Thursday, Jan. 17 with a AUD$ 1,100 no-limit hold ‘em event. The series will be highlighted by the AUD$ 10,600 Main Event, as well as the $ 100,000 Challenge and the $ 250,000 Challenge.

For more on the Aussie Millions satellite schedule, visit AussieMillions.com.

WSOP on ESPN

ESPN’s coverage of the World Series of Poker continues Tuesday night with more action from Day 7 of the Main Event. The broadcast begins at 9:30 p.m. ET and will focus on the remaining 13 players battling for a spot at the final table.

The action will pick up with big stacks Marc-Andre Ladouceur and Russell Thomas leading the way, but the big story is the deep runs by Elisabeth Hille and Gaelle Baumann. The last time a woman made the WSOP Main Event final table was in 1995, and even though they’re short-stacked late on Day 7, the odds are in in their favor to make history.

Here’s a look at a teaser of Tuesday’s ESPN coverage:

For more on tonight’s ESPN coverage, check out the story at WSOP.com.

Follow PokerNews on Twitter for up-to-the-minute news.

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Poker News Nightly Turbo


Published on 12:31 am by Administrator

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Tags: , Cards, Greg, Hole, More, Nightly, Raymer, Smith's, Title, Turbo, View, Wins

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Da Vinci Masterworks Poker Chip Set w/300 Chips w/Denominations, 2 Decks of Cards, & 5 Poker Dice

Da Vinci Masterworks Poker Chip Set w/300 Chips w/Denominations, 2 Decks of Cards, & 5 Poker Dice

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EPT Grand Final Goes Live Featuring Hole Cards

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Bluff King 650 11.5 Gram Clay Composite Gambling Poker Chip Chipset with Aluminum Case, Dice, Playing Cards and Dealer Buttons.

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Category: Poker Chips

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Trademark Global Kem 100% Plastic Playing Cards

Trademark Global Kem 100% Plastic Playing Cards

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How to Win at Cards (21 & poker), Dice, Races, Roulette

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The Fireside Book of Cards

The Fireside Book of Cards

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